Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.464175 4.068772 4.768464 5.643024 6.713762 7.990753 9.642109
2025-01-05 2.518559 3.252532 4.204659 5.550421 7.436439 10.035973 13.980187
2025-01-12 2.105020 2.890516 3.988854 5.676335 8.276452 12.258309 19.080298
2025-01-19 1.767685 2.541116 3.685627 5.561144 8.676341 13.874199 23.739276
2025-01-26 1.629816 2.445494 3.718865 5.939167 9.909749 17.133315 32.383974
2025-02-02 1.494197 2.324963 3.682651 6.181478 10.953276 20.345207 42.258732
2025-02-09 1.390473 2.236106 3.677219 6.466295 12.133794 24.171505 55.203018
2025-02-16 1.275862 2.110112 3.583747 6.562994 12.958369 27.507548 68.647686
2025-02-23 1.183482 2.008891 3.516581 6.693159 13.881172 31.371045 85.652573
2025-03-02 1.080682 1.874790 3.366839 6.623071 14.334800 34.243095 101.453361
2025-03-09 1.012209 1.795488 3.310466 6.739722 15.259808 38.692975 125.460695
2025-03-16 0.929293 1.678501 3.162337 6.623968 15.576135 41.560105 145.848357
2025-03-23 0.853405 1.577636 3.056545 6.645083 16.429976 46.964506 183.970795
2025-03-30 0.773060 1.460228 2.904087 6.540124 16.970391 51.907718 227.360079
2025-04-06 0.723109 1.397741 2.859511 6.692635 18.322781 60.524946 302.339908
2025-04-13 0.659804 1.298407 2.715707 6.552748 18.729378 65.899557 368.095546
2025-04-20 0.640572 1.291743 2.785352 7.012275 21.303110 82.138472 543.008395
2025-04-27 0.612912 1.262396 2.795532 7.307396 23.453626 98.422238 766.110981
2025-05-04 0.589901 1.240481 2.820339 7.654829 25.982464 119.123238 1108.904293
2025-05-11 0.558140 1.193964 2.774713 7.772917 27.674370 137.098298 1503.731864
2025-05-18 0.530983 1.155152 2.743385 7.931975 29.643091 159.148547 2086.233850
2025-05-25 0.496814 1.095225 2.646114 7.846315 30.495739 174.980443 2675.560361
2025-06-01 0.474050 1.061171 2.615574 7.988901 32.531326 202.349813 3762.443611